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The $320 Million Question: What If The Electric State Had Funded 50 Independent Films Instead?

  • Writer: Tim Pickett
    Tim Pickett
  • May 11
  • 4 min read

In a previous blog, I talked about the collapse of pre-sales and how streamers have unintentionally hollowed out parts of the independent film ecosystem. One example stood out. The Electric State.


Netflix reportedly spent around $320 million producing the film, making it one of the most expensive movies ever made. Which raises a pretty uncomfortable question: What if that same money had been spread across 50 independent films instead?


Not because all 50 films would’ve been great. They wouldn’t have been. Some would fail. Some would be average. A few might be terrible. But a handful could’ve been exceptional. And more importantly: What would that model have done for the industry overall?


Because when we talk about film economics, we tend to reduce everything down to:

  • subscriber retention

  • box office

  • streaming numbers


But films are ecosystems. They create:

  • jobs

  • taxes

  • infrastructure

  • future talent

  • cultural value

  • long-term economic activity


So let’s compare the models. Not emotionally. Structurally.


Model A: The Electric State


Reported Production Budget: $320 million


Now obviously Netflix doesn’t publicly release detailed financial breakdowns, so the following figures are approximations based on industry-standard production models for films of this scale. A production like The Electric State likely employed:


Above-the-line:

  • directors

  • writers

  • producers

  • lead cast

  • executive producers


Estimated: 50–100 people


Below-the-line:

  • production crew

  • VFX artists

  • editorial

  • construction

  • costume

  • lighting

  • transport

  • post-production


Estimated: 2,000–3,000 jobs


Which sounds enormous. And it is. But here’s the thing people miss: At extreme budget levels, labour intensity per dollar actually starts dropping.


A huge amount of the budget gets concentrated into:

  • star salaries

  • overhead

  • VFX infrastructure

  • backend deals

  • executive fees

  • marketing


The spend becomes less economically distributed.


Estimated Economic Activity


Using conservative assumptions:


If roughly:

  • 35–40% of the budget went directly into payroll and production labour

  • and assuming average blended taxation rates across income/payroll/VAT/local spend


Then a $320M production might generate roughly: $40–60M in direct and indirect tax revenue.


That’s obviously significant. But now let’s compare it to a distributed model.


Model B: 50 Independent Films at $5 Million Each


Instead of one giant film: 50 films × $5M = $250M production spend


Add:

  • development

  • modest marketing

  • contingency


And you’re sitting in broadly the same total capital range. Now the ecosystem changes completely.


Employment Multiplication


A $5M independent film typically employs:


Above-the-line:

  • writer(s)

  • director

  • producers

  • lead/supporting cast


Estimated: 20–40 people per film


Below-the-line:

  • crew

  • locations

  • transport

  • post

  • costume

  • editorial

  • practical effects


Estimated: 80–150 people per film


Now multiply that by 50.


Estimated Industry Impact


Above-the-line: 1,000–2,000 jobs


Below-the-line: 4,000–7,500 jobs


Potentially: 2–3x more direct employment than a single mega-budget production.


And crucially, the work gets spread across:

  • more production companies

  • more filmmakers

  • more actors

  • more crews

  • more regions

  • more vendors


The ecosystem breathes.


The Tax Difference


This is where the numbers get really interesting. Because 50 productions don’t just mean more jobs. They mean more economic circulation.


You suddenly have:

  • 50 production offices

  • 50 accommodation cycles

  • 50 catering ecosystems

  • 50 location economies

  • 50 rounds of local hiring


Hotels.

Restaurants.

Drivers.

Builders.

Rental houses.

Editors.

Designers.

Local services.


Everything multiplies.


Using conservative assumptions, 50 independent productions at this scale could realistically generate: $70–100M+ in combined direct and indirect tax revenue


Potentially substantially more than one concentrated mega-production. Not because the budgets are bigger. Because the economic activity is more distributed.


Then There’s the Talent Pipeline


This is the bit the industry massively undervalues.


50 films means:

  • 50 directors getting opportunities

  • dozens of writers getting produced credits

  • hundreds of actors getting meaningful roles

  • cinematographers stepping up

  • editors building careers


This is how industries regenerate themselves. Not through gigantism. Through repetition and opportunity.


The Variance Advantage


This is where the current model starts looking genuinely irrational.


One $320M film gives you:

  • one tone

  • one release

  • one creative interpretation

  • one chance to connect


50 films create:

  • multiple genres

  • multiple audiences

  • multiple breakout possibilities

  • multiple cultural touchpoints


This is how the following enter culture:

  • Get Out

  • Whiplash

  • Moonlight

  • Little Miss Sunshine

  • Paranormal Activity


Not because they were safe. Because the system once had room for variance.


The Industry Has Forgotten Portfolio Thinking


Every other creative industry understands this. Tech does. Music does. Venture capital does. You spread risk across multiple outcomes. Film increasingly doesn’t. Instead, it concentrates more and more capital into fewer and fewer bets and then acts surprised when volatility increases.


Would 50 Films Be Riskier?


Creatively? Absolutely. Financially? Arguably not.


Because business risk decreases when:

  • exposure is spread

  • outcomes diversify

  • upside multiplies across a slate


This is the confusion at the heart of modern Hollywood. The industry keeps conflating:

creative risk with financial risk


They overlap. But they are not the same thing.


The Bigger Cultural Question


A healthy film industry isn’t just:

  • profitable

  • efficient

  • scalable


It’s generative. It creates:

  • new filmmakers

  • new aesthetics

  • new careers

  • new cultural moments


When too much money concentrates into too few projects, the ecosystem narrows. And eventually culture narrows with it.



Conclusion


This isn’t an argument against big films. Big films absolutely should exist. But not at the expense of the wider ecosystem. Because the numbers suggest something pretty uncomfortable: 50 smaller films may create significantly more jobs, more tax revenue, more opportunity, more creative variance and potentially more long-term value than one giant one. And the benefit isn’t just cultural. It’s strategic. Because Netflix wouldn’t just have one film. It would now have:

  • 50 additional assets in its library

  • 50 opportunities for audience connection

  • 50 release cycles

  • 50 chances for breakout success

  • 50 films driving engagement, retention and long-tail discovery


That has value. Not just creatively, commercially. Netflix reportedly spends around $20 billion a year on content. In that context, this isn’t some radical restructuring of the business. It’s a tiny percentage of annual spend. But the downstream effect could be enormous on:

  • filmmakers

  • crews

  • audiences

  • regional economies

  • and the long-term health of the industry


Because maybe the future of the industry isn’t about spending more money. Maybe it’s about spreading opportunity better.

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